Spend, spend spend

I had missed this email back in November but click HERE for an excellent read on why the government's SPENDING is killing our country. Well reasoned and supported...

An open letter to President Obama about the State of the Union Address

Here is the text of an email I just sent to the White House (from www.whitehouse.gov).

"In anticipation of the State of The Union Address this evening I want to put forth the following-I know your focus will be on the Economy and Jobs. With that in mind, I want to share something that doesn't make sense to me. I drive over 60 miles a day to get to and from work; I frequently have to drive to appointments as well. I have heard several predictions that gasoline prices will rise to over $4.50 this summer and with the saber rattling over the Straits of Hormuz I am not surprised by this. Couple that with the fact that my 1999 SUV with 165K miles takes premium my payments will be much higher. So why did you stop the Keystone pipeline project? This is something that will help OUR country and provide immediate jobs (I believe you have used the term Shovel Ready for several other projects that haven't yet started). I try to conserve and recycle and yes, we DO need to come up with other energy sources. But TODAY we need oil and that won't change. We also need JOBS. Please reconsider for the good of our COUNTRY (not political factions). Thanks for you time, good luck tonight!"

So why did he block the Keystone Pipeline project? For Jobs? NOPE. For the Economy? NOPE. For the safety of our fine Union? NOPE. He did it to appease environmentalists. They believe this pipleline to be a horror show for our country. Yes, there are risks involved and they need oversight to ensure they 'get it right'. We DO need alternative energy sources; I wish I could afford a solar array on my roof so I could thumb my nose at the Energy companies during our hot summer but I can't. We don't have enough wind and the more or less 'clean' nuclear industry (yes, I know it's not perfect) is also blocked by environmentalists. SO what does that leave us? OIL. We need oil NOW and it's time to approve this (Especially before CHINA inks a deal with Canada).

So in the interests of our country, why not approve this? OR are you interested in Elections and Polls? We will soon see. I am not so sure...

Chapter 11?

I just read an article about Hostess declaring bankruptcy. Why? To be able to truly bargain with their Unions and to ease some of their Pension pains. Look, I understand the problems of management versus workers but many of our unions have crippled their companies. It's pretty bad when such a well-known and well-loved company has to do something so draconian as to declare Bankruptcy in order to be able to negotiate! What's my thought on this? I am not a huge union fan obviously and I want to see more US companies be able to compete with foreign companies. Why did so many companies move offshore? Cheaper labor! I am sure the hourly wages are much different but if you add in all the governmental regulations PLUS the higher wages PLUS all the Union demands it makes for an easy business decision to relocate (not only that, compare rust belt Automakers vs. all the Southern US Plants--lower wages and benefits, yes, but people are WORKING). Look at all the new auto plants being built in the South--Kia, Hyundai, VW. Not only is it cheaper to produce here (due to exchange rates and shipping costs) we have a solid workforce. So I guess I'm just griping about unions today. Do I "applaud" Hostess' move? In some respects, I agree with it. However, no one wants to see someone 'fail' (at least that's how I see Bankruptcy). Will we see more of this? It all depends on the marketplace. In essence, both sides need to work together--pay a fair wage but work a fair amount. It's all in the balance! I wish Washington, DC worked like that... Cheers, Bo

Repeal Dodd-Frank NOW

Read THIS ARTICLE. This is very well written, no matter what you think of Newt. I like Newt; perhaps not as my President, but as a solid commentator. I have long complained of the Dodd-Frank Act (and it's 'friend' HVCC) and its repeal would do wonders for our country! That important? YES!

A mixed bag: Unemployment "Down" in GA

I suppose any drop is a good thing, but since we're still at 9.9% unemployment, it's tough to get super excited! March numbers reported 10% so a .1% drop is small, but I doubt the 30,100 people who found jobs would complain at all! Most of the jobs were added in hospitality, services, trade, educational and health services and (so it is reported) construction (construction? really?). It's also important to note that we were sitting at 10.1% unemployment a year ago (April) so again, this is a good thing, but the last time it was below 10 was in June of 2009 when unemployment was reportedly 9.8%--and all the while we've been running above the national average. BUT, it's the third consecutive month of gains to "Way to go, Georgia!"

Steroids for the Economy?

This is great commentary--time to get off the drugs! The best comment is in the summary/end of the article: "Waiting for the recovery and removing the things that are holding it back (wasteful spending and regulation) is the healthiest way to create sustainable growth." AMEN While we're at it, what about all the foreclosures being "on hold"? That will only delay the inevitable (e.g. we need to work through the foreclosures that are out there so we can finally hit bottom with home prices). THEN we can see a true recovery. Whenever you tinker with market forces, 'bad things' can happen-in this case, it's just dragging out our issues. Final thought--we are 'on hold' until November. Win or lose, people are waiting to see how the chips fall. Once that happens, people will begin making their move (e.g. if Congress goes GOP, then businesses may see positive things on the horizon--if Democrats remain in power, they will either a) continue to sit on their hands or b) figure out a 'plan B'). Time will tell, eh?

Newt Gingrich's message for Labor Day

Read this article! There was not a lot of press about Congressman Boehner's call to fire President Obama's Economic team, but this article makes it clear that it's time for some real CHANGE in D.C.!

(Full text of Boehner's speech here)

By the numbers: JOBS and Housing

What's important for our nation's economic recovery? Two things dominate--unemployment and the housing market (yes, government spending is a huge issue but many expenditures relate heavily to the two issues above). The tax credit originally did its job as people rushed to purchase homes last fall. There was a pretty solid push this Spring (prior to the April 30 cut-off date) but it was not as 'robust' as the fall of 2009. In fact, new home sales in May 2010 dropped to the lowest pace in the 47 years records have been kept! Right now, housing starts are down but home completions are actually up as it appears builders are focused more on finishing homes already started versus breaking ground, which is in-line with the tax credit and the June 30 close date deadline (which has been extended to September). If housing starts remain this slow, new home inventories will continue to decline which will in turn help clear the way for more recovery.
As a side note, the NAHB (National Association of Home Builders) says each new home built in the US creates the equivalent of 3 new jobs for a year and generates around $90,000 in taxes paid (local and federal) and impacts many industries (such as raw materials, goods like appliances and faucets, etc.). When I say that the housing recovery is key to our nation's recovery, you can see what I mean now! In ATL, we were overbuilt prior to the crash; that's why we were really hurt by the downturn. Even now there are over 89K homes for sale in ATL, which is a 14 month supply. 150K vacant lots = enough to supply builders for the next 4 years per a report by Wells Fargo Securities. More foreclosures = even more inventory!
Bright notes? Our unemployment rate has declined 3 months in a row (still around 10%) and our fundamental growth models remain intact. Factor in all the Fortune 500 companies here, the world's busiest airport, and our strong ports in Savannah, we are still a very attractive area for job creation. With that being said, we may not be back to 'normal' for another few years. The Fed agrees; they noted that the recovery is weakening in many parts of the country.
Final thoughts? Stocks are up this week due to upbeat earnings reports from many different companies/industries and there was a small drop in unemployment claims last week. Likewise, uncertainty in Europe is calming due to bank ratings remaining acceptable across the board after regulators crunched numbers on 91 banks (only 7 failed their tests per an AP report) and determined that most would survive further economic slowdown. The Euro rose and most European markets rose slightly on these reports as well. See? It's not all bad! Keep plugging away, and have I mentioned that rates are at their lowest levels EVER? Buy or refi NOW ; )

While I'm at it...

Metro ATL's unemployment rose to 9.9% in May (from 9.8%) per the GA Department of Labor. As for Georgia, the state's unemployment rate declined from 10.3% in April to 10.2% in May. For one final happy thought, May was the 32nd consecutive month GA exceeded the national unemployment rate (all per Atlanta Business Chronicle article 6/24/10).

When you're happy and you know it clap your hands....




(sound of crickets chirping)