Thursday, February 18, 2010

Uh-oh... The Economy stumbles a bit...

Unemployment claims rose last week and inflation jumped more than forecast in January. Yes, there are still positive news items (manufacturing is up, cars are selling, new home permits up slightly and pricing stabilizing) but the core issue currently is the job situation (a reminder to those 'in charge'--it has ALWAYS been about jobs--NOT our health care). Why is this important? If inflation keeps rising, how does the Fed combat that? They raise interest rates! What will KILL home sales? Rising interest rates! (right Mr. Carter?) What else? Well, the Fed has been more or less buying loans (in simplistic terms). At the end of March, this will end, so we can see rates hike up based on the fact that it will be more difficult to obtain funds. This can also hurt home sales and refinances. I will expand on this soon, but suffice it to say that we are nearing a 'perfect storm' environment for home sales: the tax credit will expire soon (must be under contract by the end of March); the Fed will need to raise interest rates to combat inflation (prediction-by Summer); the Fed will stop shoring up the mortgage market at the end of March. bottom line-if you are on the fence, BUY OR REFI NOW!

As for health care, READ THIS from the AJC--I wish our politicians would....

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